The Price Of Prosperity: A Realistic Appraisal Of The Future Of Our National Economy (Peter L. Bernstein’S Finance Classics)繁荣的代价：对未来国民经济的现实评价 115盘 下载 pdf txt 电子版 mobi snb docx

One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management. Now, with classic titles such as Economist on Wall Street, A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold, and The Price of Prosperity which have forewords by financial luminaries and new introductions by the author you can enjoy some of the best of Bernstein in his earlier Wall Street days.

First published in 1962, The Price of Prosperity speaks to today's uncertainties as clearly as to those of the past. With chapters like "The Burden of Government" and "The Economics of Democracy," Bernstein probes the future of an economy during rapidly changing times and the appropriate role of government in determining the ultimate outcome.

The questions have not changed over time, but Bernstein's answers help us understand these issues from today's perspective. How much government control is too much control? How much can government spend? How can government influence the level of unemployment?

As Bernstein shows how to navigate an ever-changing economic landscape, his timeless insights throughout these pages make The Price of Prosperity as vital and important today as when it appeared in an environment fundamentally different from our own.

Foreword by (Paul ASamuelson)

New Introduction

Original Preface

Chapter 1 The Arithmetic of Optimism

Chapter 2 The Burden of Government

Chapter 3 The Fear of Taxes

Chapter 4 The Uses of Government

Chapter 5 The Tragedy of Errors

Chapter 6 The Economics of Democracy

Statistical Appendix

Acknowledgments

Notes

Index

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描绘天堂远比指明通往天堂的路容易得多，只描绘了天堂而没考虑指明道路的人其实没有做出任何有一的事情

在未来十年和更远的将来，潜在的劳动力将日益快速增长，所以就业人数将会增加，收入将会提高；而就业人数的增加和收入的提高，将会导致需求走强；而需求走强，又会进一步导致就业人俗的增加和收入的提高。

描绘天堂远比指明通往天堂的路容易得多，只描绘了天堂而没考虑指明道路的人其实没有做出任何有益的事情。

如此说来，我们必须承认，20世纪60年代末和70年代的各种振奋人心的预测根本就不能算作预测，尽管它们描述了未来的种种表象。那些预测只不过是“天堂”的房地产宣传手册，完全基于我们无论如何终将抵达那里的假设。

历史的洋底到处是永远不能达到彼岸的经济预测的残骸，漂浮的希望因为选择了错误的假设为其导航而注定了沉默的命运。

如果动物精神黯淡了，自发的乐观主义也衰退了，从而使我们只能依赖数学预期，那么企业将衰败灭亡......

不幸的是，这意味着……经济繁荣在很大程度上取决于政治和社会氛围与普通商人是否融洽。

——约翰·梅纳德·凯恩斯《通论》

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作者简介：

　　PETER L. BERNSTEIN is founder and President of Peter L. Bernstein, Inc., established in 1973 as publishers of Economics & Portfolio Strategy and consultants to institutional investors around the world. He is also the author of ten books, including three recent volumes from Wiley—Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk, The Power of Gold: The History of an Obsession, and Capital Ideas Evolving.

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One of the foremost financial writers of his generation, Peter Bernstein has the unique ability to synthesize intellectual history and economics with the theory and practice of investment management. Now, with classic titles such as Economist on Wall Street, A Primer on Money, Banking, and Gold, and The Price of Prosperity which have forewords by financial luminaries and new introductions by the author you can enjoy some of the best of Bernstein in his earlier Wall Street days.

First published in 1962, The Price of Prosperity speaks to today′s uncertainties as clearly as to those of the past. With chapters like "The Burden of Government" and "The Economics of Democracy," Bernstein probes the future of an economy during rapidly changing times and the appropriate role of government in determining the ultimate outcome.

The questions have not changed over time, but Bernstein′s answers help us understand these issues from today′s perspective. How much government control is too much control? How much can government spend? How can government influence the level of unemployment?

As Bernstein shows how to navigate an ever–changing economic landscape, his timeless insights throughout these pages make The Price of Prosperity as vital and important today as when it appeared in an environment fundamentally different from our own.