Mind Set！ ： Reset Your Thinking and See the Future好的思维模式帮助你正确认识未来 9780061136887 115盘 下载 pdf txt 电子版 mobi snb docx

When Megatrends was first published nearly a quarter-century ago, Naisbitt was hailed as a cutting-edge futurist. Today, however, he's more like your crotchety grandpa, complaining about how he can't get through the voice-mail system to talk to a real person. Naisbitt's latest book reads like a manu* that's been stuck in a drawer since 1985, as his insights into the future—corporations are becoming more powerful than nation states, video games are an art form—are embarrassingly behind the times. Although he touts 11 principles to help readers cultivate forward-looking thinking, these turn out to be banal guidelines like "focus on the score of the game" and "don't add unless you subtract." Tangential rants about hysterical environmentalists and free market capitalism as the only way to organize modern society reveal a creeping conservative mindset, but even here Naisbitt is bringing up the rear, touting Friedrich Hayek long after everyone else has moved on to Leo Strauss. In his eighth predictive tract, the author coasts on his reputation. (Oct.)

Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Prologue

Introduction

PART 1: MINDSETS

1 While many things change, most things remain constant

2 The future is embedded in the present

3 Focus on the score of the game

4 Understanding how powerful it is not to have to be right

5 See the future as a picture puzzle

6 Don't get so far ahead of the parade that people don't know you're in it

7 Resistance to change falls if benefits are real

8 Things that we expect to happen always happen more slowly

9 You don't get results by solving problems but by exploiting opportunities

10 Don't add unless you subtract

11 Don't forget the ecology of technology

PART 2: PICTURES OF THE FUTURE

1 CULTURE: A Visual Culture Is Taking Over the World

2 ECONOMICS: From Nation.States to Economic Domains

3 CHINA: The Periphery Is the Center

4 EUROPE: Mutually Assured Decline

5 OUR EVOLUTIONARY ERA: Reservoir of Innovation

Endnotes

Acknowledgments

Index

Megatrends，IOHN NAISBITT’S first published book in 1982，was at the top ofthe New York Times bestseller list for more than two years and sold more than nine million copies． His experience reaches from executive positions in the corporate world to appoi

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书籍介绍

In his seminal works Megatrends and Megatrends 2000, John Naisbitt proved himself one of the most far-sighted and accurate observers of our fast-changing world.

Mind Set! goes beyond that—Mind Set! discloses the secret of forecasting. John Naisbitt gives away the keys to the kingdom, opening the door to the insights that let him understand today's world and see the opportunities of tomorrow. He selects his most effective tools, 11 Mindsets, and applies them by guiding the reader through the five forces that will dominate the next decades of the twenty-first century.

Illustrated by stories about Galileo and Einstein to today's icons and rebels in business, science, and sports, Mind Set! opens your eyes to see beyond media headlines, political slogans, and personal opinions to select and judge what will form the pictures of the future.